Quantitative Standardized Expansion Assay: An Artificial Intelligence-Powered Morphometric Description of Blastocyst Expansion and Zona Thinning Dynamics

Artificial intelligence applied to time-lapse microscopy may revolutionize embryo selection in IVF by automating data collection and standardizing the assessments. In this context, blastocyst expansion dynamics, although being associated with reproductive fitness, have been poorly studied. This retrospective study (N = 2184 blastocysts from 786 cycles) exploited both technologies to picture the association between embryo and inner-cell-mass (ICM) area in µm2, the ICM/Trophectoderm ratio, and the zona pellucida thickness in µm (zp-T) at sequential blastocyst expansion stages, with (i) euploidy and (ii) live-birth per transfer (N = 548 transfers). A quantitative-standardized-expansion-assay (qSEA) was also set-up; a novel approach involving automatic annotations of all expansion metrics every 30 min across 5 h following blastulation. Multivariate regressions and ROC curve analyses were conducted. Aneuploid blastocysts were slower, expanded less and showed thicker zp. The qSEA outlined faster and more consistent zp thinning processes among euploid blastocysts, being more or as effective as the embryologists in ranking euploid embryo as top-quality of their cohorts in 69% of the cases. The qSEA also outlined faster and more consistent blastocyst expansion and zp thinning dynamics among euploid implanted versus not implanted blastocysts, disagreeing with embryologists’ priority choice in about 50% of the cases. In conclusion, qSEA is a promising objective, quantitative, and user-friendly strategy to predict embryo competence that now deserves prospective validations.